Cowboy Mcgregor Odds
This weekend’s UFC 246 is a strong bookmaking and betting match. Both the moneyline and prop menu offer different incentives to each side.
Jan 17, 2020 Cowboy Getting Love From Bettors. McGregor’s odds are now topping out at -330 (wager $330 to win $100) and from a betting perspective offers relatively little value. Jan 18, 2020 The odds. Conor McGregor: 8/15. Donald Cerrone: 5/2. Method of victory. Conor McGregor by KO/TKO or disqualification: 1/2. Conor McGregor to win by submission: 25/1. Conor McGregor to win.
The return of Conor “Notorious’ McGregor from a 15-month layoff to battle Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is more than a battle of high-profile performers, ranked number four and five in the lightweight division.
There are enough questions regarding each fighter — McGregor’s layoff and Cerrone’s history of taxing bouts — to open significant betting variables. Does McGregor, who claims he will make $80 million on this fight because of incentives, still have the hunger? He lost his last bout and has lucrative businesses outside of UFC. Cerrone lost his last two fights but has battled five times during McGregor’s layoff.
To commemorate their scheduled five-round bout, here are five of the best ways to bet UFC 246. This outlook represents methods and strategy, even more than particular wagers, because there are hundreds of props at major betting operators like DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM and PointsBet.
The gambling approach to The McGregor vs. Cowboy Fight
Round One: Forget the moneyline for McGregor backers. He is laying in the vicinity of +300 (3-to-1) at the books. Wagering $300 to win $100? Not sexy. There are fertile opportunities for him in the prop field.
Round Two: Absolutely play the win line if you like Cerrone, at returns averaging roughly +250. Props are fine to supplement, but this is like taking the win line at the Kentucky Derby on a 5-2 pick. If you like this, hit the win-line hard and place less on the props (which would resemble the exactas and trifectas of the horse-racing world). Nothing frustrates a bettor more than having the right selection, but betting it incorrectly.
Round Three: Narrow the focus. Books have an enticing prop menu. But you can’t get lost in them, diverting the bankroll. There are numerous victory and method props, over/under and knockout rounds, even the unlikely draw. But they can overlap. Know where you have aimed the money.
Round Four: Determine your operation. A safe build-out can start from picking two-round group packages for when the bout ends. A rounds bet or method prop can be added. Or do you want to go for a slam, betting one prop heavy in search of the big score? Know how much of the landscape you want to travel.
Round Five: The accent piece. Seek a strange angle and place a small bet. McGregor has only lost twice in the UFC. But both times were by submission. Including his last fight. There are long odds on a submission finish in this fight because both fighters are excellent strikers. That’s why the submission prop pays well.
Honorable Mention: Holly Holm and Raquel Pennington fight on the undercard in a rematch of a previous split decision victory by Holm. The books back a long battle, probably a decision. Any fighter on the moneyline at DraftKings (at -137 for Holm, + 110 for Pennington) is not a bad play. Odds of a knockout are in the range of +1000 (10-to-1) on both sides.
Odds on UFC 246
DraftKings Sportsbook
The Line: McGregor -315, Cerrone +250
The over-under for the fight is 1.5 rounds, which is also reflected in the range-of-finish props. Bettors lay +150 if the fight ends inside of two rounds. The payout is +375 for rounds 3-4 and a draw is +5000.
Extending to individual fighters, McGregor’s winning rounds range from +175 in round one to +2500 in the fifth. Cerrone also pays 25-1 in round 5 but would return 11-1 for a first-round victory. Translation: McGregor will try to and win early and if Cerrone turns the tables, it will pay handsomely.
A McGregor win inside of two rounds is -115 but a KO in round two pays +650. Victory for him in the round 3-4 package is worth +650, but Round 3 is +1500 and Round 4 is +1900.
For Cerrone backers, individual rounds knockouts return from 22-1-50-1 from rounds 1-5. Submissions return 22-1 to 40-1, depending upon the round.
FanDuel Sportsbook
The line: McGregor -290, Cerrone +220
The prop line suggests an early McGregor knockout, at -210.
McGregor on points is +1000 and a submission is +3200. Cerrone returns +700 for a knockout, +950 for a decision and +700 for a submission.
McGregor’s range of knockout victories returns +175 for Round 1 up to +2900 for Round 5. Cerrone’s payouts are +2400 for the opening round and +5500 for a stoppage in Round 5. Cerrone also pays +5500 for a submission triumph in Round 5.
Will the fight go the distance? Yes is +440 and the bettor would not have to sweat out who wins.
BetMGM
The line: McGregor -334, Cerrone +260
McGregor’s victory spectrum ranges from +170 in Round 1 to +2200 in the fifth.
Cerrone has a similar payout, +2500, for a round-five win. The major difference between them is early, where Cerrone would return +1100 for a first-round victory.
This is a unique menu because it offers half-rounds. The over-under hits the even-money area at 1.5 rounds. That would pay +100 for the over and -121 for the under.
As the rounds progress, the expected stoppage changes the numbers to over 2.5 rounds at +187 and under at -250. Want to try 3.5 rounds? That’s +240 for the over and -358 for the under. Over 4.5 rounds and a full fight exceed +400 on the over and -500 and -589 on the under. Translation: the appeal for the under dies after the first round.
PointsBet
The line: McGregor -286, Cerrone +230
Some sweet spots for McGregor are specific round props. McGregor knockout victories in Round 3 (+ 750) and Round 4 (+1200) provide a 10-minute window for McGregor to provide a good return. Putting money on EACH of the rounds and taking a smaller payout is a reasonable way to go for anyone believing in a mid-rounds stoppage for McGregor.
Cerrone backers would receive +750 for a knockout win, +500 for a submission and +950 for a points verdict. Cowboy bettors would score a boatload, +8000, should Cerrone submit McGregor during the fifth round.
This article was originally posted Tuesday. Odds are subject to change. For current odds, click the sportsbook links above.
Conor McGregor vs. Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone highlights a huge UFC 246 fight card this weekend and McGregor enters the MMA fight as the heavy early favorite per BetMGM oddsmakers.
The two meet at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, Saturday, January 18, 2020. UFC 246 can be watched on ESPN+ and begins at 6:15 p.m. ET, but the main card doesn’t get started until 10 p.m. ET. There are four other fights on the main card before McGregor and Cerrone square off.
McGregor (-334) enters with a 21-4-0 record, while Cerrone (+260) brings in a 36-13-0 with 1NC to UFC 246’s co-main event.
New to sports betting? -334 odds on McGregor have implied odds of 76.96% likelihood that he’ll come out the victor in the eyes of the oddsmakers. A $100 wager on him to win outright returns a profit of just $29.94 with a victory.
Meanwhile, Cerrone at +260 has an implied odds of 27.78% chance of winning. A victory, however, is much more profitable. A $100 wager on Cowboy returns a profit of $260 with an upset victory over The Notorious One.
SPECIAL BET LINE: McGregor vs. Cerrone
BetMGM is offering a special Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if McGregor wins in any manner vs. Cerrone January 18, 2020. Bet now at BetMGM!
Available to new customers in New Jersey; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.
BetMGM‘s oddsmakers view a McGregor victory by KO/TKO or DQ as the most likely scenario, placing odds there at -209; on the same bet for Cerrone, the line is at +800. McGregor by submission comes in with long odds of +2000 and a draw/technical draw comes in at +5000.
As for length of the fight, oddsmakers are not predicting this one goes the distance. They’ve got +400 odds on it going a full five rounds, while -589 is the heavy expectation of it lasting less than five. Under 2.5 rounds has the shortest of odds on an early ending, coming in at -250. The over 2.5 rounds enters at +187.
Also See:
McGregor vs. Cowboy: When, where and how to watchUFC 246 viewing guide: Where and where to watchHow/Where can I watch McGregor vs. Cerrone?
Cowboy vs. The Notorious One, along with the rest of the UFC 246 main card and early prelim fights, will be available on Pay Per View on ESPN+ streaming service. Sign up for ESPN+ now.
Get some action on UFC 246 by placing a legal sports link at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.
Conor Mcgregor Cowboy Odds
Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and on Facebook.
Mayweather Vs Mcgregor Odds
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.